Society’s Growing Vulnerability to Natural Hazards and Implications for Geophysics Research

2010 AGU Fall Meeting – Frontiers of Geophysics Lecture Society’s Growing Vulnerability to Natural Hazards and Implications for Geophysics Research Presented by Julia Slingo DSc, OBE, Chief Scientist, United Kingdom Met Office
Video Rating: 5 / 5

SOURCES: 2″ Interview on Australian TV program ‘Sunrise’ 2009 1’02″ McNeil publishing history: web.maths.unsw.edu.au 4’19″ Royer 4’29″ “The equilibrium sensitivity of the Earth’s temperature to radiation changes” R. Knutti and G. Heger Nature Geoscience 2008 5’59″ Rebuttals to Lindzen “Relationships between tropical sea surface temperature and top-of-atmosphere radiation” K. Trenberth, J. Fasullo, C. O’Dell T. Wong GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2010 “Constraining climate sensitivity with linear fits to outgoing radiation” Daniel M. Murphy, GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 2010 “Revisiting the determination of climate sensitivity from relationships between surface temperature and radiative fluxes” E. Chung, B. Soden, B. Sohn GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2010 “The Impact of Global Warming on Marine Boundary Layer Clouds over the Eastern Pacific—A Regional Model Study” A. Lauer et al Journal of Climate, 2010 6’15″ Monckton-Lambert debate: www.youtube.com 6’34″ “Climate Sensitivity Reconsidered,” Forum on Physics and Society, July 2008 6’53″ Calculation rebuuttals at: duoquartuncia.blogspot.com www.realclimate.org scienceblogs.com www.altenergyaction.org 7’40″ “Taking Greenhouse Warming Seriously” R. Lindzen, Energy and Environment, Dec 2007 8’14″ “Chuck it again, Schmidt” Christopher Monckton, July 2008 scienceandpublicpolicy.org 9’16″ Speech sponsored by Minnesota Free Market Institute St. Paul, October 2009 10’04″ Monckton notes, FCPP website www.fcpp.org 11’58″ Speech in
Video Rating: 4 / 5

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24 responses to Society’s Growing Vulnerability to Natural Hazards and Implications for Geophysics Research


  1. TheRealArchAngel

    ” very right to keep ourselves alive”
    Those who do not earn from history are doomed to repeat it
    Look at the “Worlwide Great Depresion”…do you know how few peopl realize it was a increase on US import taxes (Hawley–Smoot Tariff) that actually first broke the US Economy then the world Economy dependent on US Economy?
    fast forward and the dumb asses raise taxes on fossil fuels,rase tax on coal and dont expect a Economic collapse n this the”Oil Age”
    Obama gonna tax Chinese Solar

  2. TheRealArchAngel

    “and with our money so goes our liberty and ultimately our very right to keep ourselves alive”
    Money,especially the US Dollar, is nothing more then a promissaey note that the thing might be worth something if you took it to the US Treasury…techinally 1 cent of gold to the US follar if the Treasury was to do the cash out..but they stopped doing that when US unconstitutionally went of the Gold Standard
    As for “Liberty” that goes away when you start mindlessly listening to “authority”

  3. TheRealArchAngel

    What money?’
    They thought Keynesian economics could create a demand for “Green Tech” by raising taxes on oil ,gasoline,jet fuel,and disel via the US Nov 2007 “biofuel initative but all the dumb assed mother fuckers did was raise thecost of corn and foord and the alternative energy tech that needs oil to make it,and move it then almost crash the world economy 11 months later from travel industry first,then retail,then real estate,then finance
    June 2009 they doubled down = world recession

  4. JeffFisher JaneBowell

    Father, I want to thank you for the grace of your warmth at the Hilton Hotel
    next to the Westin Hotel.
    Thank you for the new shirt. I will do my best for you always. I am now back in Virgina. Father,will my feet always hurt as a reminder to what happened two thousnd twelve years ago?
    I will always be your son, Daddy I love you,tell Mommy I love her too.
    I love Jane so much like you love mother!
    Your power is so overwhelming & it feels like waves on the open sea.
    Google Al Gore God
    Jeff

  5. jay762360

    You can crawl around in all this muck until the crack of doom, trying to sort out the truth. The real truth is, evil is always finding new ways to seperate us from our money. Climate change is an issue that is being used to separate us from our money, and with our money so goes our liberty and ultimately our very right to keep ourselves alive

  6. billhobin07

    in reference to pinker, in the few pages here. monckton states a 3rd period of warming occurs while a brightening occurs from 83-01 a fact. and pinker collaborates that this is a factor in the equation of why there is warming, and then adds there is a POSSIBILITY that aerosols, co2 and water vapor MAY attribute to the brightening. sounds like what she just condemned monckton for.

  7. Bob Rick

    potholer, may I please download these videos and repost them on on the denial videos

  8. Bob Rick

    may I please use and re-post these video, using youtube downloader?

  9. MrTriangularity

    Human-induced climate change is a scam, and the political action being endorsed is increase taxes. Anyone with half a brain should clearly be able to work out that the Marxist greens are to be stopped at setting up their communist dystopia.

  10. MrTriangularity

    You clearly have no understanding of science, there are scientists on both sides of the discussion. The earth is cooling in places and warming in others. Austrian economic theory is the answer to environmental pollution. Lord Monckton is to be commened in his fight against the Marxist greens.

  11. Gardien48

    Ich finde die ganze Theorie des Forcings ziemlich schwach, da durch das Forcing mehr Energie abgestrahlt wird als eingestrahlt wird. Energie wird also aus dem nichts erzeugt. Hier werden also die Grundlagen der Physik verletzt.

    siehe auch Ermeke: Rettung vor den Klimarettern:
    Ich zitiere darus: Wenn sich die Erde dauerhaft erwärmt, strahlt sie auch dauerhaft mehr ab.
    Um das Ungleichgewicht zu beenden, muß sich die Energiezufuhr vergrößern.
    Das aber kann CO2 nicht bewirken.

  12. facetiousbadger

    WTF is wrong with Monckton’s eyes?!

  13. theant8899

    im happy that people like potholer54 are out there. guys like him protect us dumb ones.
    thank youuuuuuu.

  14. skoockum

    Cubits, bushels, whatever. When you’re pushing an agenda all data are ultimately disposable.

  15. Bob Armstrong

    Tell me your source , and what sort of spectrum can produce a mean temperature of 220 given the energy density in our orbit corresponds to a temperature of 279 ?

  16. cbrhawk1

    I think it’s silly that Monckton even tries to produce peer reviewed literature and make calculations for himself. This is not his strength, and personally trying to interpret data and equations is also not where he is strong.

    But, none of the people who talk about Muckton ever debunk the work by OTHER scientists he comes up with. Muckton has successfully answered arguments against climate sensitivity by providing satellite data that shows no change in places that there should be.

  17. heavymetaldeath4life

    The average surface temperature of the moon is -53°C; the average surface temperature of the earth is 14°C. So we’re 67°C warmer than the moon.

  18. Bob Armstrong

    Ditto for PotHole

  19. Bob Armstrong

    This is gibberish . We are about 10 degrees , 3% warmer than a gray ball in our orbit. Albedo , per se has NO effect on temperature of a radiantly heated ball , only the correlation with the spectra of its sources and sinks count . It also makes no difference how snidely your accent is .

  20. FreedFenrir

    His eyes terrify me…

  21. Muzzius

    I wouldn’t say that Kelvin and Celsius mean the same thing above zero degrees C, but the Kelvin scale is just a shifted Celsius scale so for a CHANGE in temperature Kelvin and degrees Celsius will be the same.

  22. mindgrapes

    Also, check out mphello’s reply to my comment 6 months ago, it’s spot-on.

  23. mindgrapes

    Oops, i meant (1 distance unit)/(1 time unit) = 1. Sorry for the mistake, and thanks for your comments!

  24. mindgrapes

    From my understanding, it’s best to think of c not as a “speed”, but as a conversion factor defining the relationship between a unit of space-like separation and a unit of time-like separation. You can define space-like separations in meters and time-like separations in seconds, but that’s completely arbitrary.
    If you set c=1, you are saying (1 time distance)/(1 time unit) = 1; therefore 1 unit of time = 1 unit of distance (though, of course, they remain fundamentally different things).